In today's Box Office Breakdown, we analyze eight new releases:
Disney’s Tron: Ares
Paramount’s Roofman
Sony’s Soul on Fire
Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions’ Kiss of the Spiderwoman
Amazon MGM’s After the Hunt
A24’s If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
1-2 Special’s Urchin (Harris Dickinson’s directorial debut)
Picturehouse’s Re-Election
Plus a deep dive into Disney threequels and Derek Cianfrance’s box office performance.
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Disney’s Tron: Ares took #1 at the box office with $33.5M domestic. It earned $27M internationally, bringing its worldwide total to $60.5M.
This is a 24% drop when compared to the previous Tron film:
Tron: Legacy (2010)
$44.0M opening
$172.1M domestic total
$400.1M worldwide total
But much stronger than the original, which gained a cult following:
Tron (1982)
4.8M opening ($16M inflation-adjusted)
$33M domestic gross ($110.8M inflation-adjusted)
Disney has had a number of threequels over the years. And Tron: Ares’ 24% drop from the sequel’s opening weekend is the worst of the pack:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End (2007)
$114.7M opening
↓15.4% than Pirates of the Caribbean 2’s opening of $135.6M
Toy Story 3 (2010)
$110.3M opening
↑38% than Toy Story 2’s opening of $80.1M
Cars 3 (2017)
$53.7M opening
↓18.8% than Cars 2’s opening of $66.1M
Tron: Ares carried a large production budget of $200M and may not recoup theatrically.
On the bright side, Tron: Ares earned the top per-screen average of any film in the top ten this weekend with $8.4K/theater across 4000 screens.
Here is the trailer.
Here’s the breakdown of the top 10:
$8M - Roofman (Paramount Pictures)
$19M budget
RT: 85%
Week 1
This is director Derek Cianfrance’s top box office opening of all time, which also tracks because this is his most commercial film.
Blue Valentine (2010)
$1.4M opening (1st weekend release on 230 screens, 3rd weekend of release)
$9.7M domestic total
$14.9M worldwide
The Place Beyond the Pines (2012)
$4.9M opening (1st weekend wide release on 1542 screens, 4th weekend of release)
$21.4M domestic total
$47.1M worldwide
The Light Between Oceans (2016)
$4.8M opening
$12.5M domestic total
$26M worldwide
Roofman opened 25% higher than the average character comedy.
The film should have no problem recouping.
$6.7M - One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
$54.5M domestic total
$138M worldwide
$130-150M budget
RT: 96%
Week 2
The film dropped 39% in its third weekend. Below, we break down how this tracks compared to other films from:
Director, Paul Thomas Anderson (worse than usual)
Studio, Warner Bros. 2025 (above average)
Star, Leonardo DiCaprio (worse than usual)
This drop is high for a PTA film, but keep in mind One Battle After Another is in 3634 theaters (double and triple PTA’s other release):
Magnolia (1999)
$3.9M week 3 (3rd week of wide release, 6th week of release)
↑15%
1038 theaters
There Will Be Blood (2007)
$3M week 3 (3rd week of wide release, 8th week of release)
↓23.8%
1410 theaters
Warner Bros. has been dominating at the box office with 7 releases in a row that opened over $40M. If you average all the week 3 drops for those films, it is 42%. This means One Battle After Another’s 39% week 3 drop is stronger.
Here are WB’s week 3 drops from lowest to highest:
Sinners
28% week 3 drop
Final Destination: Bloodlines
29.4% week 3 drop
Weapons
37% week 3 drop
Minecraft Movie
48.4% week 3 drop
The Conjuring: Last Rites
52.1% week 3 drop
Superman
57.5% week 3 drop
For Leo last 5 films the average drop is 27.5%:
Killers of the Flower Moon (2023)
26.2% week 3 drop
Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood (2019)
42% week 3 drop
The Revenant
20% week 3 increase (3rd week of wide release, 5th week of release)
The Great Gatsby (2013)
43.4% week 3 drop
The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)
5.8% week 3 drop
Right now One Battle After Another is tracking lower than what it needs to break even at the box office.
Full breakdown of the opening here: https://theindustry.co/p/leonardo-dicaprios-box-office-battle
$3.4M - Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie (Universal)
$26.4M domestic total
$46M worldwide
$32M budget
RT: 80%
Week 3
This movie is based on the children’s series on Netflix, which is quite popular.
It opened about 30% higher than the average family film with no sequel and should have no problem recouping.
$3M - Soul on Fire (Sony Pictures)
RT: 99%
Week 1
Sony has been distributing a few of these inspirational, slightly faith-based stories from their subsidiary production company Affirm Films. You may remember:
The Forge (2024, Sony/Affirm Films)
$6.6M opening weekend
$29.1M domestic total
$40.4M worldwide
Soul on Fire, from director Sean McNamara (Reagan), is performing 25% lower than the average inspirational drama.
$2.9M - The Conjuring: Last Rites (Warner Bros.)
$172.4M domestic total
$473M worldwide
$55M production budget
RT: 56%
Week 6
After its sixth week, it is the highest-grossing film in the series by over 50%:
The Conjuring (2013)
$41.9M opening
$137.4M domestic total
$320.4M worldwide total
86% RT
The Conjuring 2 (2016)
$40.4M opening
$102.5M domestic total
$321.4M worldwide total
80% RT
The Conjuring 3 (2021)
$24.1M opening
$65.6M domestic total
$206.4M worldwide total
56% RT
Critically, the current The Conjuring film is the lowest-rated of any in the pack. But the zealot-like resurgence of horror fans has catapulted this film to the highest earnings.
$2.25M - Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle (Sony)
$128.6M domestic total
$637M worldwide
$20M budget
RT: 98%
Week 5
It is now the highest-grossing anime film of all time by over 25%:
Demon Slayer 1: Kimetsu no Yaiba - The Movie: Mugen Train (Crunchyroll, 2020)
$21.2M domestic opening
$49.9M domestic total
$486.5M worldwide
Spirited Away (2001)
$15.2M domestic total
$395.8M worldwide ($581.5M w/ inflation)
Pokémon: The First Movie (1999)
$31M domestic opening ($60M w/ inflation)
$163.6M worldwide total ($318M w/ inflation)
The distributor, Crunchyroll (owner: Sony), controls much of the market here for popularizing Japanese anime, and they have built tremendously off the previous installment.
$1.8M - The Smashing Machine (A24)
$9.8M domestic total
$11.3M worldwide
$50M budget
RT: 74%
Week 1
This is a disappointing second week for the film, dropping 69%. That’s more than any film in the top ten this weekend.
This is very bad when compared with other A24 films with A-listers that were hoping to garner Oscar acclaim:
The Brutalist
$1.8M week 2 (2nd week of wide release on 1612 screens, 8th week of release)
31.8% drop from opening
Babygirl
$4.5M week 2 (2164 theaters)
.5% drop from opening
The Iron Claw
$4.6M week 2 (2794 theaters)
4.5% drop from opening
The Smashing Machine’s word of mouth went from being stunning (winning Venice’s Best Director award) to so-so coming out of TIFF.
$1.55M - The Strangers: Chapter 2 (Lionsgate)
$13.5M domestic total
$15.2M worldwide
$8.5M budget
RT: 16%
Week 3
This is tracking to come nowhere near the box office take of the previous films:
The Strangers: Chapter 1 (2024)
$11.8M opening
$35.2M domestic total
$48.2M worldwide
RT: 21%
The Strangers: Prey at Night (2018)
$10.4M opening
$24.6M domestic total
$31M worldwide
RT: 40%
The Strangers (2008)
$21M opening
$52.6M domestic total
$82.4M worldwide
RT: 50%
An interesting pattern where each sequel seems to earn about half of what the first film in the series earned. And with The Strangers: Chapter 2 being the lowest-rated film in the series, it doesn’t bode well for the already shot Chapter 3.
Regardless, it should recoup quickly.
$1.4M - Good Boy (IFC)
$4.86M domestic total
$4.9M worldwide
RT: 92%
Week 2
This is a sensational opening for IFC.
Remember, this was a film that was not going to get a theatrical release. But the trailer went viral online, and IFC decided to put it into 1650 theaters.
Just in its second week, this already ranks among IFC’s top horror films:
Dangerous Animals (2025)
$1.6M opening
$2.7M domestic total
$5.2M worldwide
In A Violent Nature
$2.16M opening
$4.2M domestic total
$4.6M worldwide
Late Night with the Devil (2024)
$2.8M opening
$10M domestic total
$15.5M worldwide
We look forward to seeing how this does!
$1.04M - The Long Walk (Lionsgate)
$33.9M domestic total
$45.7M worldwide
$20M budget
RT: 90%
Week 5
This is the 3rd highest grossing film based on a Stephen King book to open in the past two years:
The Monkey (2025, Neon)
$14M opening
$39.7M domestic total
$68.9M worldwide
The Life of Chuck (2024, Neon)
$224K opening
$6.7M domestic total
$16.9M worldwide
The Boogeyman (2023)
$12.4M opening
$42.2M domestic total
$67.3M worldwide
It was the highest-grossing film for star Cooper Hoffman (Licorice Pizza).
Here are the lowest-grossing films of the week:
$6.7K - Re-Election (Picturehouse)
$6.7K/screen average
Week 1
$3.8K - CatVideoFest 2025 (Oscilloscope)
$1M domestic total
$1.2M worldwide
$1.3K /screen average
Week 11
$525 - Peacock (Oscilloscope)
$13.4K domestic total
$174.5K worldwide
$131 /screen average
Week 4
1-2 Special’s Urchin: earned $42.2K in its opening weekend. The film earned a sensational $14.1K/screen across 3 theaters. This is Harris Dickinson’s directorial debut which premiered at Cannes in Un Certain Regard.
A24’s If I Had Legs I’d Kick You earned $89.2K in its opening weekend. With an amazing per-screen average of $22.3K/screen across 4 theaters. The film premiered at Sundance and stars Rose Byrne and Conan O’Brien. Both are incredible.
Amazon MGM’s After the Hunt earned $154.5K in its opening weekend. With a weekend best per-screen average of $25.7K/screen across 6 theaters. The film premiered at NYFF and stars Julia Roberts and Andrew Garfield. It is directed by Luca Guadagnino (Challengers).
Lionsgate and Roadside Pictures’ Kiss of the Spiderwoman earned $1M in its opening weekend. With an ok per-screen average of $752/screen across 1330 theaters. The film premiered at Sundance and stars Jennifer Lopez and Diego Luna. It is directed by Bill Condon (Dreamgirls). The film carried a massive $50M budget, and Lionsgate and Roadside paid $30M to acquire it out of Sundance.
Also… two arthouse films took big week 2 drops. Bleecker Street’s Bone Lake, earned $144.3K in its second weekend, dropping 83%. Focus Features’ Anemone, starring Daniel Day-Lewis, earned $136K in its second weekend, dropping 80%.